Sunday Service Play Thread 08/22/2021

[BuzzKill]

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Northcoast

Top Opinion Under 35.5 NY Giants/Cleveland

 

[BuzzKill]

John Bollman

ATLANTA @ BALTIMORE | 08/22 | 1:05 PM EDT
ATLANTA -160
ANALYSIS: A lot of people are thinking the Os hit lefties well and this could be the game the Orioles end the 16-game losing streak, and that's understandable. But we can't overthink it. The Orioles have lost 16 straight games. The Braves have won 7 straight games. The Braves are better on the road and the Orioles are worse at home. The Orioles bullpen has struggled and Matt Harvey is very hittable. Dont overthink it, take the Braves.

 

[BuzzKill]

Micah Roberts

FireKeepers Casino 400

1 #18 Kyle Busch (+650) - He only has one Cup win at Michigan, which is very surprising considering he has four wins at Fontana, which is almost the same layout as Michigan. The reason he offers so much value this week is that he's been the best collectively on the tracks using the high downforce race package with engines producing only 550 horsepower. Kyle Larson has led the most laps with it, but Busch has both his wins using it and has finished in the top-five in the last seven races using it after starting the season with a 10th-place at Homestead in February. He's beat Larson head to head in the last three races using this week's race package and Larson will likely be a -165 favorite over Busch on Sunday in head-to-head matchups. Might as well bet that too.

2 #5 Kyle Larson (+300) - Even before Larson was dominating NASCAR, he was winning at Michigan. He won three straight Michigan races in 2016-17. But he's been better with the 750 HP package, which has been raced 14 times already. He'll be great here rim-riding around the top of the track, but isn't attractive at 3-to-1 odds offered by Caesars Sportsbook when Kyle Busch is rated higher with this package. Scout around for the best odds if betting Larson to win.

3 #9 Chase Elliott (+750) - In 10 Michigan Cup starts he has a 7.7 average finish, which is best among active drivers. He's only had two top-five finishes in the eight races using the high downforce package and the last one was a runner-up at Charlotte in late May, which is the last time Larson won with this package.

4 #48 Alex Bowman (20/1) - This is the bet I'm most excited about this week after two weeks of inactivity due to the Olympics taking over NBC and two weeks of dreadful road course racing. His last start using the high downforce package was at Atlanta, where he finished fourth and was the top Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. Before that he was seventh at Pocono after leading 18 laps, and before that he won at Pocono leading 16 laps.

5 #2 Brad Keselowski (12/1) - He's from Michigan, so he should have an edge, right? No, he's had a few heartache losses there, but no wins in 23 Cup starts. Last season he was runner-up in the Saturday race (two races, same weekend). He has seven top-fives at Michigan overall. I'll be betting him in a few driver matchups because he's been very competitive with this week's race package. He was third at Pocono after leading a race-high 31 laps. He was runner-up in the non-points All-Star Race at Texas, and he was runner-up at Las Vegas.

 

[BuzzKill]

Martin Green

Southampton vs. Manchester United (Sunday, 9 a.m. ET)

Man United to win -180 (1 unit)
Man United to win and 2 or more goals in the match -118 (1 unit)

Juventus vs. Udinese (Sunday, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Juventus to win and 2 or more goals in the match -137 (one unit)
Juventus to win to nil +135 (half unit)
Juventus to win Serie A -110 (five units)

 

[BuzzKill]

R.J. White

NFL
New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns | 8/22 | 1 P.M. ET
Giants +4.5
Kyle Lauletta and Case Keenum had a field day against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Cleveland's first preseason game of the year. The duo completed more than 70% of their passes and tallied 217 yards through the air. New York is much better defensively, though. The Giants' offense is another thing. New York got almost nothing going on offense in a 12-7 loss to the jets last week and is in for a bigger challenge this weekend against the Browns. Both teams are better on defense than offense, and Cleveland is likely to focus on the ground game to protect Baker Mayfield, so you shouldn't expect a high-scoring contest. Getting the Giants at +3 or better in the first half makes plenty of sense here.

 

[BuzzKill]

Hitman

Sunday, Aug 22 2021 1:00PM
427 NYG +5.5 (-110) vs 428 CLE double dime

 

[Yankees5560]

DAVE ESSLER | MLB MONEY LINE	SUN, 08/22/21 - 1:10 PM
970 TAM (-125) Pinnacle vs 969 CWS	triple-dime bet—-MLB GOGoy

Analysis:
First of all, they Rays are on fire at the plate. They've scored five or more ruŽns in about nineteen straight ganes, often many more. Archer had some extra motivation given this will be his first start without his mother there. He's cone out and said as much. He's likely limited to 80-85 pitches, but the White Sox don't have a lot of exposure to him and the Rays pen has been elite lately. Lopez is over valued and the Rays have had their way with him. He's been fine out of the pen, but he's bringing a career 4.59 ERA RL tne game and has thrown about 85 innings jn two years. He does give up the longball and this isn't the teams to be facing with that problem. The White Sox don't need the win nearly as bad as the Rays and then won't get it, either.

 

[Yankees5560]

Above is esslers MLB GOY

 

[JMEYERS]

SYSTEMPLAYS
Baltimore Orioles ML
St Louis Cardinals ML
Chicago Cubs ML

 

[bribux]

dubaibets asia

ENGLAND: Premier League
Southampton - Manchester
Manchester -1 @ 2.00

 

[BuzzKill]

Tokyo Brandon

Game: (304667) Kiwoom Heroes at (304668) KIA Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 22 2021 4:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: Kiwoom Heroes -1.5 (+100)
Jokisch is perhaps the best pitcher in Korea. Kiwoom has a substantial SP and lineup advantage in this one and they have a slightly better bullpen as well. They are on the road so I am ok to lay 1.5. Take this anything 100 or better.

(304663) LG Twins at (304664) NC Dinos
Game: (304663) LG Twins at (304664) NC Dinos
Date/Time: Aug 22 2021 4:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: LG Twins Total Under 5.5 (+100)
This is a bet on LG Under 5.5. Pinnacle has it now for 100 but it is available at William Hill for -105. Find the best line. Lee Jae Hak gets a bad rap for his ERA but his FIP and other numbers show he will come back to form. LG has not been hitting well and generally are not a good hitting team to begin with. NC has a decent bullpen and I think 6 runs is a tall ask from this team. Take LG Under 5.5.

(304143) Yakult Swallows at (304144) Hiroshima Carp
Game: (304143) Yakult Swallows at (304144) Hiroshima Carp
Date/Time: Aug 22 2021 5:00 AM EDT
Play Rating: B%
Play: Total Over 8.5 (-110)
Two terribly awful SPs and two bad bullpens makes this an over play. My numbers have this at 9.57. Yakult is the best hitting lineup in Japan right now and are the #1 run producing team this week. I prefer 8 but for 8.5 make this a smaller 2% play.

 

[mcmister]

Jack Winningham
MLB
Atlanta

 

[BuzzKill]

Larry Hartstein

ATLANTA @ BALTIMORE | 08/22 | 1:05 PM EDT
ATLANTA -157
ANALYSIS: The Braves have won eight straight while the Orioles have dropped 17 in a row. John Means isn't the same pitcher he was earlier this season; he's been shellacked in his last two outings, giving up 10 earned runs over 8.1 innings. Atlanta's Touki Toussaint has pitched well in five of his six starts. Lay it.

 

[BuzzKill]

Stephen Oh

KANSAS CITY @ CHI. CUBS | 08/22 | 2:20 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY -105
ANALYSIS: The Cubs are in full-blown tank mode. They're 2-14 in their last 16 games. Meanwhile the Royals are playing decent baseball. They've won five of six and just took three of four games against AL West-leading Houston. Kansas City starter Carlos Hernandez has been solid recently, going 2-0 in his last four starts with a 2.28 ERA, all against AL playoff teams (White Sox twice, Yankees and Astros).

SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 08/22 | 2:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -177
ANALYSIS: Seattle, you have a problem. Minute Maid Park is the Mariners' house of horrors; since the start of the 2019 season, they're 2-21 in Houston. Seattle has lost the first two games of this series, 27-4. The Mariners' starter on Sunday, Tyler Anderson, has faced the Astros three times this season, giving up 14 earned runs in 16.2 innings for a 7.56 ERA. And even if Seattle keeps this game close, Houston has all of its key bullpen arms rested and ready. Go 'Stros.

TEXAS @ BOSTON | 08/22 | 1:10 PM EDT
TEXAS +265
ANALYSIS: I realize the Rangers are one of the worst teams -- if not the worst team -- in baseball. But there's no reason the reeling Red Sox should be this big of a favorite against anyone right now. They've lost four of five and played sloppy ball in a 10-1 loss to Texas on Saturday. The Rangers can play loose with nothing to lose. If this game doesn't get canceled because of the hurricane, I'm taking the nice price with Texas.

 

[BuzzKill]

teamronaldinho

German – Bundesliga
Hoffenheim - Union Berlin
Hoffenheim Over 1.5 @ 1.90

 

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pickstennis

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati
Barty - Teichmann
Under 19.5

 

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Alan Scozzari Sport

Guaranteed MAX BET C Wager
Poland Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan -1 -123

Tip of the day MAX BET C Wager
Belgium Jupiler League
Mechelen - St. Gilloise
UNDER 3 -120

 

[BuzzKill]

Pickswise Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Braves -155
Triple Dime - Reds -140
Triple Dime - Astros -1.5 runs [+110]

XNFL - All Dime Plays
Browns -4.5
Browns/Giants Under 35.5
49ers -5.5
49ers/Chargers Under 34.5

Soccer Picks
B* Chelsea -133
A* Wolverhampton/Tottenham Hotspur DRAW +230
A* Southampton/Manchester United +140 - First-Half Result DRAW